A Warrant Trading System

THESE POSTINGS ARE CUT DIRECTLY FROM LKB POSTINGS IN CHANNELNEWSASIA FORUM (CNA) DISCUSSION ON THIS TOPIC, UNDER CATEGORY: SINGAPORE MARKET TALK

Posted: Sun Dec 02, 2007 2:52 pm

Not an inducement to trade, just sharing the
Buy-Close Sell-Open technique of warrant trading,
of which I am using. It is risky business.
Don't try it if you are not ready to lose.

Have been doing this for some months now.
Sometimes it worked , sometimes it doesn't,
let's see how things will turn out eventually......
Let's start from where I can still remember, last Thursday.
---------------------------------
28nov07
Bought
HSI30000MBLeCW071228
0.175
100 lots
4.45-5.00PM
Reason - Dow/Europe futures all up >30 points
---------------------------------
29nov07
Sold
0.235
100 lots
around 9.30AM (+/- 15mins)
Profit 5.8k
Bal 5.8k
---------------------------------
29nov07
Bought
HSI30000MBLeCW071228
0.255
100 lots
4.45-5.00PM
Reason - Dow/Europe futures all up green
-----------------------------
30nov07
Sold
0.29
100 lots
around 9.30AM (+/- 15mins)
Profit(approx) +3.3k
Bal(approx) +9.1k
-----------------------------
30nov07
Bought
HSI30000MBLeCW071228
0.30
100 lots
4.45-5.00PM
Reason - Dow/Europe futures very strong >60pts
----------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 9:25 am Post subject: Reply with quote
Sold
0.325
100 lots
Profit(approx) 2.3k
Bal(approx) 11.4k
-------------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 03, 2007 4:41 pm Post subject: Re: A Warrant Trading system Reply with quote
Bought
STI 3400SGAePW80130 (Put Warrant)
0.33
100 lots
Reason - Dow/Europe futures all red -30 pts or more.
-------------------------
Posted: Tue Dec 04, 2007 9:34 am Post subject: Re: A Warrant Trading system
Sold
0.345
100 lots
Profit(approx) +1.3k
Accumulated Profit/Loss (approx) +12.7k
------------------------------------
Posted: Tue Dec 04, 2007 4:45 pm
Bought - none
Reason - Dow/Europe futures neutral, up/down less than 20 pts.
---------------------------
Posted: Wed Dec 05, 2007 4:25 pm
Bought
HSI30000MBLeCW071228 (Call)
0.36
100 lots (multi)
Reason - No. 1
----------------------------
Posted: Thu Dec 06, 2007 9:31 am
Sold
0.46
100 lots

Profit(approx) +9.8k
Accumulated Profit/Loss (approx) +22.5k
-------------------------
Posted: Thu Dec 06, 2007 4:43 pm
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures neutral, up/down less than 30 pts.)
--------------------------
Posted: Fri Dec 07, 2007 4:36 pm
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures neutral, up/down less than 30 pts.)
---------------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 10, 2007 4:33 pm
Bought
HSI29000MBLePW071228 (Put Warrant)
0.525 and 0.515
100 lots
Reason No. 2 (Futures red - UBS writedown)
------------------------
Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 9:33 am
Sold
0.445
100 lots
Loss(approx) -7.7k
Accumulated Profit/Loss (approx) +15.0k
-----------------------------
Posted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 4:51 pm
Bought
HSI32000BNPeCW080130 0.175 50 lots Call
HSI27000BNPePW080130 0.175/0.17 50 lots Put
This Yingyang Straddle
Reason No. 4 (Dow expected to surge up or down strongly)
------------------------------
Posted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 1:03 pm
SOLD
HSI32000BNPeCW080130 0.125 50 lots Call -0.050
HSI27000BNPePW080130 0.20 50 lots Put +0.027
Loss 1.45k (1.35k-2.5k-0.3k)
Accumlated Profit 13.55k
Phew! Really sweat to calculate and type this out.
Transactions Done around 12-12.30 noon
-------------------------
Posted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 4:49 pm
Bought : None
Reason No. 3 (Dow Green / Europe Red)
--------------------------
Posted: Thu Dec 13, 2007 2:37 pm
Bought
HSI29000MBLePW071228
0.615
100 lots
Reason No 2 (red dow , nikkei futures / europe futures likely to be red too)
---------------------------
Posted: Fri Dec 14, 2007 9:55 am
SOLD
0.66
100 LOTS
Profit/Loss +4.3k
Accumlated Profit 13.55k + 4.3k = 17.85k
----------------------------
Posted: Fri Dec 14, 2007 4:51 pm
Bought - none
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures neutral)
----------------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 2:12 pm
BOUGHT (puts only)
HSI27000BNPePW080130 0.30 50 lots
STI 3500BNPePW080228 0.215 50 lots
Reason No 2 (red dow , nikkei futures / europe futures likely to be red)
----------------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 17, 2007 5:19 pm
Just saw in my order processed (today) another bought done:-
HSI27000BNPePW080130 0.315 50 lots
----------------------------
Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2007 9:08 am
SOLD

STI 3500BNPePW080228 0.235 50 lots
PRofit : 0.8k
Accumulated Profit 17.85k+0.8k = 18.65k

Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2007 10:02 am
SOLD

HSI27000BNPePW080130 0.33 100 lots
PRofit : 2.0k
Accumulated Profit 18.65k + 2k = 20.65k
------------------------------
Posted: Tue Dec 18, 2007 2:48 pm
Bought
HSI28000MBLeCW080130
0.475
100 lots

Reason - Dow futures all up green / Europe likely green
------------------------------

Posted: Wed Dec 19, 2007 10:05 am
SOLD
HSI28000MBLeCW080130 0.51 100 lots
PRofit : 3.3k
Accumulated Profit 20.65k + 3.3k = 23.95k
---------------------------
Posted: Wed Dec 19, 2007 4:26 pm
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures neutral)
--------------------------------
Posted: Fri Dec 21, 2007 3:49 pm
BOUGHT
HSI29000MBLeCW080130
0.225
100 lots
Reason No. 1
(Dow/Nikkei/ASE very green, Europe likely to follow)
---------------------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2007 8:58 am Post subject:
SOLD
HSI29000MBLeCW080130
0.295
100lots
PRofit : 6.8k
Accumulated Profit 30.75k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Mon Dec 24, 2007 12:11 pm
Bought - none
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Dec 26, 2007 4:28 pm
Bought - none
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures not available due to boxing day)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Dec 27, 2007 4:42 pm Post subject:
Bought - none
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Fri Dec 28, 2007 4:22 pm
Bought - none

Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Jan 02, 2008 4:09 pm
Bought
HSI28000MBLePW080130 puts
0.30
100 lots
Reason No 2 - Dow/Europe futures all down around 30 points
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Jan 03, 2008 9:37 am
SOLD
HSI28000MBLePW080130
0.34
100lots

PRofit : 3.8k
Accumulated Profit 30.75k+3.8k = 34.55k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Jan 03, 2008 4:45 pm
Bought - none

Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Fri Jan 04, 2008 4:45 pm
Bought - none

Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Mon Jan 07, 2008 4:48 pm
Bought - none

Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures not convincingly green)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Tue Jan 08, 2008 4:32 pm
BOUGHT
HSI28000MBLeCW080130
0.335
100 LOTS
Reason No. 1 (Dow/Eur all green >30)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Jan 09, 2008 10:11 am
SOLD
HSI28000MBLeCW080130
0.30
100lots
Loss: 3.7k
Accumulated Profit 34.55k-3.7k = 30.85k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Jan 09, 2008 4:43 pm

Bought - none

Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures vastly different)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Jan 10, 2008 5:08 pm
Bought : None

Reason No 3 (Dow/Europe futures mixed)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Fri 11, 2008 4:44 pm
Bought : None

Reason No 3 (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Mon Jan 14, 2008 4:34 pm
Bought - none
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Tue Jan 15, 2008 2:29 pm
BOUGHT
HSI28000MBLePW080130
0.40
100 lots
Reason No 2 (red dow , nikkei futures / europe futures likely to be red too)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SOLD
HSI28000MBLePW080130
0.53 (50lots)
0.54 (50lots)
100lots
Profit: 13.2k
Accumulated Profit 30.85k + 13.3k = 44.15k

Last edited by Lee Kok Beng on Wed Jan 16, 2008 9:22 am;

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Jan 16, 2008 2:11 pm

BOUGHT
STI 3500BNPePW080228
0.34
100 LOTS
Reason No 2 (Dow is extremely red / Europe likely follow)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Jan 17, 2008 9:14 am
SOLD
STI 3500BNPePW080228
0.315
100 LOTS
LOSS = 2.5K
Accumulated Profit 44.15k - 2.7k = 41.45k

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Jan 17, 2008 3:36 pm
BOUGHT
HSI27600MBLeCW080228
0.285
100 lots

Reason No 1 (Dow very green, Europe likely to follow)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2008 10:13 am
SOLD
HSI27600MBLeCW080228
0.21
100 LOTS
LOSS = 7.7K
Accumulated Profit 41.45k - 7.7k = 33.75k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Fri Jan 18, 2008 4:40 pm
BOUGHT
HSI27600MBLeCW080228
0.28
100 lots
Reason No 1 (Dow very green whole day, Europe likely to follow, after clearing hangover from yesterday's heavy drop)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 9:51 am
SOLD
HSI27600MBLeCW080228
0.225
100 LOTS
LOSS = 5.7K
Accumulated Profit 33.75k - 5.7k = 28.05k

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Mon Jan 21, 2008 3:17 pm
BOUGHT
HSI25600SGAePW080328 Put
0.53-0.54
50 lots
HSI24000BNPePW080429 Put
0.29
6 lots
Reason No 2 (Dow futures very red, rest likely to follow)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2008 10:07 am
SOLD
0.73
0.40

PROFIT = 9.55K + 0.6K = 10.15K
Accumulated Profit 28.05k + 10.15K = 38.20K
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Tue Jan 22, 2008 4:10 pm
BOUGHT
HSI24000BNPePW080429 Put
0.4725
80 lots (limited)
Reason No 2 (Dow futures very red, rest likely to follow)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Jan 23, 2008 9:53 am Post subject:
SOLD
HSI24000BNPePW080429
0.37
80 LOTS
LOSS = 8.56K
Accumulated Profit 38.20k - 8.56K = 29.64K
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Wed Jan 23, 2008 4:10 pm
BOUGHT
HSI26600SGAeCW080328
0.21
100 LOTS
REASON no 1 (Dow & Europe very Green)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 9:47 am
SOLD
HSI26600SGAeCW080328
0.25
100 LOTS
Profit = 3.8K
Accumulated Profit 29.64K + 3.8k = 33.44
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted: Thu Jan 24, 2008 4:30 pm Post subject:
Bought - none

Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Jan 25, 2008 4:15 pm
BOUGHT
HSI27600MBLeCW080228
0.32
100 LOTS
REASON no 1 (Dow & Europe up > 50)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Jan 28, 2008 9:47 am (Time shown on TV while typing this)
SOLD
HSI27600MBLeCW080228
0.235 x10
0.24 x30
0.245 x60
100 LOTS
Loss = 4.5K + 2.4k + 0.85k + 0.150 = 7.90
Accumulated Profit 33.44k - 7.90k = 25.54k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Jan 28, 2008 3:10 pm (CNA TV time)
BOUGHT
HSI24000BNPePW080429 put
0.33
115 LOTS
REASON no 2 (Dow & Europe likely very red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Jan 29, 2008 10:26 am (CNA TV time)
SOLD
HSI24000BNPePW080429
0.295
115lots
Loss = 4.175k
Accumulated Profit 25.54k - 4.175k = 21.365k

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Jan 29, 2008 4:34 pm
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures neutral.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Jan 30, 2008 4:21 pm (TV time)
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 5
(Fed Meeting Announcement tonite.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Jan 31, 2008 4:41 pm (TV time)
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures mixed.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Feb 01, 2008 4:55 pm (TV time)
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures mixed.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Feb 04, 2008 4:25 pm (TV time)
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures mixed.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Feb 05, 2008 4:40 pm (TV time)
Bought - none
-
Reason No. 3
(Dow/Europe futures mixed.)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Feb 06, 2008 2:10 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Half Day trading)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Feb 11, 2008 4:50 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Feb 12, 2008 4:55 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Feb 13, 2008 4:55 pm (SG time)
BOUGHT
STI 3000BNPePW080228 put
0.14
100 LOTS
REASON no 2 (Dow & Europe less than -30)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Feb 14, 2008 9:06 am (SGtime)
SOLD
STI 3000BNPePW080228
0.10
100lots
Loss = 4.2k
Accumulated Profit 21.365k-4.2k= 17.165k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Feb 14, 2008 4:34 pm (SG time)
BOUGHT
HSI24800MBLeCW080228
0.285
100 LOTS
REASON no 1 (Dow & Europe > 30)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Feb 15, 2008 10:40 am (SG time)
SOLD
HSI24800MBLeCW080228
0.21
100 LOTS
Loss = 7.7k
Accumulated Profit 17.165k-7.7k = 9.465k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Feb 15, 2008 4:25 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Feb 18, 2008 4:40 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Feb 19, 2008 4:48 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Feb 20, 2008 4:15 pm (SG time)
BOUGHT
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.67 40 LOTS
0.675 60 LOTS
REASON no 2 (Dow & Europe < -30)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Feb 21, 2008 11:15 am (SG time)
SOLD
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.615
100 LOTS
Loss = 6.0k
Accumulated Profit 9.465k - 6k = 3.47k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Feb 21, 2008 4:48 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Feb 22, 2008 4:22pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Feb 25, 2008 4:54pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Feb 26, 2008 4:55pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Feb 27, 2008 4:44pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Feb 28, 2008 4:49pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Feb 29, 2008 4:59pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Mar 03, 2008 12:27 pm (SG time)
BOUGHT
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.525
100lots
REASON no 2 (Dow & Europe super Red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 04, 2008 2:42 pm (SG time)
SOLD
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.575
100 LOTS
Gain = 5.0k
Accumulated Profit 3.47k + 4.8k = 8.27k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 04, 2008 4:59pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Mar 05, 2008 4:20pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Mar 06, 2008 4:16pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Mar 07, 2008 4:30pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Mar 10, 2008 2:59 pm (SG time)
BOUGHT
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.62
100lots
REASON no 2 (Dow Red& Europe likely Red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 11, 2008 11:05 am (SG time)
SOLD
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.645
100 LOTS
Gain = 2.50k
Accumulated Profit = 8.27k + 2.3k = 10.57k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 11, 2008 4:39 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Mar 12, 2008 4:31 pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Mar 13, 2008 2:14 pm (SG time)
BOUGHT
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.55 60lots
0.555 40lots
REASON no 2 (Dow Red& Europe likely Red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Mar 14, 2008 2:32 pm (actual clock time)
SOLD
HSI23400MBLePW080328
0.59
100 LOTS
Gain = 3.90k
Accumulated Profit = 10.57k + 3.7k = 14.27k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Mar 14, 2008 4:59 pm (actual time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Mar 17, 2008 10:41 am (SG time)
BOUGHT
HSI22400MBLePW080429
0.86 100 lots
REASON no 2 (Dow Super Red& Europe likely Red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 18, 2008 10:53 am (actual clock time)
SOLD
HSI22400MBLePW080429
0.895
100 LOTS
Gain = 3.30k
Accumulated Profit = 14.27k + 3.3k = 17.57k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 18, 2008 4:59 pm (actual time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (FOMC meeting/announcement)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Mar 19, 2008 15:33 pm (clock time)
BOUGHT
HSI22400MBLePW080429
0.705 100 lots
REASON no 2 (Dow Red & Europe likely Red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Mar 20, 2008 10:32 am (actual clock time)
SOLD
HSI22400MBLePW080429
0.90
100 LOTS
Gain = 19.3k
Accumulated Profit = 17.57k + 19.3k = 36.87k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 20, 2008 4:33 pm (actual time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mon Mar 24, 2008 4:59 pm (actual time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue Mar 25, 2008 4:54 pm (actual time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wed Mar 26, 2008 3:36 pm (actual time)
Bought - HSI24000BNPePW080429
100 lots 0.28cts
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures likely red)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Mar 27, 2008 10:06 am (actual time)
Sold - HSI24000BNPePW080429
100 lots
0.295cts
Gain = 1.3k
Accumulated Profit = 36.87k + 1.3k = 38.17k
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu Mar 27, 2008 4:50pm (SG time)
Bought - none
-
Reason: (Dow/Europe futures very mixed)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fri Mar 28, 2008 2:08 pm (clock time)
BOUGHT
HSI23600MBLeCW080429
0.455 100 lots
REASON no 1 (Dow Fut green & Europe likely green)
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